Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 11.644824 13.335547 15.200502 17.412675 19.968382 22.832073 26.289566
2025-10-05 9.603957 11.857730 14.547160 18.002528 22.338292 27.617031 34.559277
2025-10-12 8.368930 10.902488 14.100861 18.453960 24.254385 31.759119 42.272843
2025-10-19 7.572171 10.308175 13.925729 19.089881 26.323738 36.171791 50.723332
2025-10-26 6.590825 9.309898 13.047891 18.603758 26.724243 38.270734 56.131345
2025-11-02 5.876382 8.578592 12.424952 18.352756 27.355148 40.669472 62.140760
2025-11-09 5.299881 7.971319 11.895930 18.147386 27.979951 43.057509 68.325517
2025-11-16 4.803777 7.425306 11.389865 17.899956 28.476408 45.247796 74.379659
2025-11-23 4.354109 6.901816 10.859179 17.543054 28.733555 47.042116 79.928503
2025-11-30 4.199785 6.826572 11.017341 18.298222 30.862983 52.078955 91.505098
2025-12-07 3.966154 6.597484 10.900162 18.573140 32.191342 55.870604 101.292377
2025-12-14 3.701736 6.291301 10.623877 18.540769 32.965915 58.748836 109.706642
2025-12-21 3.425037 5.944156 10.254235 18.320151 33.400704 61.095882 117.473386
2025-12-28 3.309940 5.869077 10.349437 18.942632 35.442732 66.608099 132.027405
2026-01-04 3.181778 5.757986 10.367865 19.419065 37.246765 71.838635 146.626746
2026-01-11 3.090556 5.705491 10.485867 20.090265 39.487759 78.139426 164.185695
2026-01-18 2.851044 5.355040 10.018408 19.577166 39.309205 79.552080 171.469714
2026-01-25 2.664510 5.090487 9.691985 19.312253 39.605717 81.959179 181.200198
2026-02-01 2.499960 4.855423 9.403156 19.095509 39.976645 84.549131 191.635175
2026-02-08 2.344359 4.625811 9.106466 18.834385 40.223281 86.885881 201.749483
2026-02-15 2.189434 4.385674 8.769707 18.457750 40.178211 88.565534 210.490057
2026-02-22 2.163768 4.407994 8.970276 19.254698 42.823957 96.584106 235.677493
2026-03-01 2.089945 4.323963 8.942169 19.544851 44.340257 102.144549 255.413110